REVITALIZING THE RAILWAYS IN AFRICA
Contents 1 2 3 4 GENERAL FRAMEWORK THE AFRICAN CONTINENT: SOME LANDMARKS AFRICAN NETWORKS: STATE OF PLAY STRATEGY: DESTINATION 2040
Contents 1 2 3 4 GENERAL FRAMEWORK THE AFRICAN CONTINENT: SOME LANDMARKS AFRICAN NETWORKS: STATE OF PLAY STRATEGY: DESTINATION 2040
1 GENERAL FRAMEWORK Motivations and purposes... DEVELOP AN EFFICIENT AND INTEROPERABLE NETWORK DEVELOP COOPERATION AND ACCELERATE THE INTEGRATION PROCESS ACCOMPANY THE PROCESS OF CHANGE AND DEVELOPMENT CAPITALIZE ON THE UIC EXPERTISE AND TECHNICAL KNOW
1 GENERAL FRAMEWORK Methodological Approach... Strategic diagnosis Opportunities Threats Strengths Weaknesses Strategic axes Levers Actions Indicators Objectives Demand Investments impacts Destination 2040
Contents 1 2 3 4 GENERAL FRAMEWORK THE AFRICAN CONTINENT: SOME LANDMARKS AFRICAN NETWORKS: STATE OF PLAY STRATEGY: DESTINATION 2040
2 AFRICAN CONTINENT Some landmarks... Composition : 54 States Organization : 5 subregions Area : 29,6 million km 2 20% of the globe People : 1,1 MM (15,5% W pop) Density : 34 people /km 2 Young : 47% Urban setting : 52,6% GDP : +5% since 2000 2,6% of World GDP Exchanges : 0,1% world trade 11% inter-african Wealth : 30% global reserves
Contents 1 2 3 4 GENERAL FRAMEWORK THE AFRICAN CONTINENT: SOME LANDMARKS AFRICAN NETWORKS: STATE OF PLAY STRATEGY: DESTINATION 2040
3 AFRICAN NETWORKS Technical dimensions... Length : 90 000 km 7% global network Density : 3 km/ 1000 km 2 Weight of rails : 25, 30 et 36 kg Axle loads : 14 and 17 tonne Curvature radii : 100 to 200 m Speeds circulations : from 55 to 160 km/h Standard gauge : 14% African network
3 AFRICAN NETWORKS Traffic evolution Voyageurs - Km (10 9 ) Tonnes - Km (10 9 ) 6% Europe Russie Afrique 17% 5% 2% 1% 37% 23% Europe Russie Afrique Amérique Asie 75% 1% Amérique Asie 33% 61,5 61,6 62,0 62,2 62,3 142,2 49,3 49,3 139,2 138,4 139,2 139,1 139,1 137,1 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
3 AFRICAN NETWORKS constraints Qualité et compétitivité infrastructure
3 RÉSEAUX AFRICAINX Families of networks...
3 RÉSEAUX AFRICAINX Families of networks... Réseaux performants Réseaux en difficultés Réseaux mise à niveau
Contents 1 2 3 4 GENERAL FRAMEWORK THE AFRICAN CONTINENT: SOME LANDMARKS AFRICAN NETWORKS: STATE OF PLAY STRATEGY: DESTINATION 2040
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Weight of infrastructure in competitiveness Influencing factors Demographic and urbanization stakes Challenge of inclusive growth Railway Technology Evolution Sustainable Development Scarcity of fossil energy Benefits of the digital world Evolution of the transport business Generational change
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Fondations Willingness to accelerate the pace of investment Integration the development of regional networks and projects Taking into account the new socioeconomic data + diagnosis Capitalizing on prospective studies carried out recently Realistic Vision this is an Africa endowed in 2040, a rail transport system, reliable, sustainable, efficientand affordable, environmentally friendly, able to promote, in complementaritywith other modes of transport, the development of socioeconomic and the regional integration while contributing to a better positioningof the continent globally concern to conform to the standards recommended by the UIC Vision 5 axes of vision 15 Levers 65 Actions
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Five federating axes Promote regional integration and positioning of the continent globally Modernize, develop and interconnect African railways Develop multimodal complementarity Improving the commercial offer to users and economic operators Better governance of railway companies
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Operational implementation scheme heterogeneity of railways phasing observed in terms of sustainability and network performance (technical, economic, commercial, financial and managerial) Rely on the diagnosis (3V) to record objectives in the intervals with the ambition: Minimum:target for Vulnerablenetworks Maximum: target for Volunteers or Viable networks
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Foreseeable demand Voyageurs.km selon les trois scénarios (en Md) 838 390 269 115 150 181 155 209 480 Scénario 1 Tendanciel Scénario 2 Intensif Scénario 3 Volontariste 2020 2030 2040 VK en 2025 VK en 2040 x1 x3 x1,5 x4 x2 x6,5 Tonnes.km selon les trois scénarios (en Md) 2054 TK en 2025 TK en 2040 x1,3 x5 x2 x6 à 7 x2,5 x8 à 9 1189 957 666 285 371 444 385 518 2020 2030 2040 Tendanciel Intensif Optimiste
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Investment needs Longueur cumulée de nouvelles lignes à construire en km Scénario 1 Tendanciel Scénario 2 Intensif Scénario 3 Volontariste 18 000 Extension : 6 000 4 400 2 000 4 000 12 000 8 800 6 000 13 200 à l'horizon 2020 à l'horizon 2030 à l'horizon 2040 Longueur (km) Coût (10 9 de dollars) Réhabilitation : Longueur (% réseau) Coût (109 de dollars) 6 000 12 25 8 13 200 26 80 à 90 24 18 000 36 100 32 Tendanciel Intensif Optimiste Programme PIDA Longueur cumulée du réseau à réhabiliter en km 36 000 27 000 9 000 18 000 72 000 54 000 27 000 81 000 108 000 à l'horizon 2020 à l'horizon 2030 à l'horizon 2040 New Nouvelles lines lignes: 12000 12000 km km Rehabilitation Réhabilitation : 17200 17200 km km
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Expected impacts
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Steering system Frequency: 1 time per year Mission : Performance monitoring Defining Action Plan Results to Ministers EXCOM REGIONAL COMMITTEE Frequency: 1 time per year Mission : Bilan progress objectives adjustments Frequency: 1 time / 2 years Mission : Bilan progress objectives adjustments TECHNICAL COMMITTEE
4 Strategy : Destination 2040 Steps to be undertaken 1 Sharing at the 3 rd Conference 2 Appointment of the correspondents CER 3 Sharing tools and procedures of steering 4 Continuation of Communication and Deployment